Kuwait and Bahrain expect oil production and refining to recover within 60 days

Oil production and refining in the Middle East could recover quickly after the crisis, with industry officials in Kuwait and Bahrain saying output may return to near-normal levels within about two months. According to Asharq Al-Awsat, Kuwait Petroleum Corporation expects roughly 70% of its normal production to be restored within eight weeks, while Vitol Bahrain said regional refineries could be back at normal production levels within 60 days after the crisis ends.

The comments point to a relatively fast rebound for a region central to global energy markets. Kuwait Petroleum’s marketing managing director, Khaled Ahmed Al-Sabah, was quoted as saying the company is working on a timeline that would bring most of its production back within eight weeks, suggesting the disruption has not caused a prolonged shutdown.

Vitol Bahrain’s regional research director offered a similar outlook on the refining side, saying Middle East refineries may increase production within 60 days after the crisis. That assessment matters because refiners supply fuel and other petroleum products to regional and international markets, and any prolonged slowdown can affect prices, shipping, and industrial demand.

The two estimates also indicate that companies in the region expect recovery to come in stages rather than all at once. Kuwait’s projection focuses on crude production, while Vitol’s comments address refinery output, showing that upstream and downstream operations may return on different timetables.

What happens next will depend on how quickly facilities can resume safe operations and whether the broader crisis continues to ease. For consumers and markets, the key question is whether the expected rebound arrives on schedule, since that will influence how soon supply conditions stabilize.