WorldUpdated 6h ago

Study projects Europe's wartime jet-fuel gap

A study prepared by NATO’s Energy Security Centre of Excellence projects that military jet-fuel demand could exceed supply in a hypothetical large-scale European war during the coming decade involving North American reinforcements. Asharq News reports that even redirecting all civilian jet-fuel supplies would leave a projected gap of 4.7 million tonnes from 2035, potentially rising to 50 million tonnes by 2050. These are projections for the study’s scenario, not a current shortage or a prediction that war will occur. To reduce the risk, the study recommends maintaining existing refining capacity, expanding strategic fuel reserves, accelerating production of alternative aviation fuels, diversifying imports and improving military fuel efficiency. It links part of the concern to reduced refining capacity and decarbonization policies, while quoting a European security official who says this is not a reason to abandon the green transition.

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